A report by Navigant Research, "Market Data: Automated Driving Vehicles, Global Consumer and Commercial Market Forecasts: 2018-2035," provides projections of the size of regional markets for consumer and commercial vehicles with highly automated driving capability. Global market sales and vehicle population projections for consumer vehicles under three different scenarios extend through 2035. The report also examines the breakdown by category for commercial vehicles with driving automation, separating medium and heavy-duty trucks and medium and heavy-duty buses.
The report says that automated driving technology continued to inch toward a commercial launch at scale throughout 2018. However, scale remains a relative term in the overall context of the automotive industry. As the companies developing this technology continue to grapple with the realities of reliable functionality in a broad range of real-world conditions, new questions continue to be raised about the robustness of the technology and the viability of different business models. Early 2018 saw the first fatality attributed directly to a failure of automated driving technology among other automated vehicle (AV)-related accidents.